Who Will Win The 2016 Election?

Who Will Win The 2016 Election?


>>THIS IS MY ELECTION
PREDICTION. I’VE GOT TO BE CLEAR ABOUT THIS — OFTENTIMES WHEN I
DO A PREDICTION ON ANY GIVEN ISSUE, ELECTION OR ANYTHING
ELSE, I WILL SAY NOW I BELIEVE I KNOW, AND HERE IS MY ROCK SOLID
PREDICTION. THIS IS NOT ONE OF THOSE. THIS IS, WE’VE GOT ABOUT
TWO MONTHS TO THE ELECTION, LET ME GIVE YOU MY BEST GUESS AS TO
WHERE WE STAND NOW. THIS IS AN INCREDIBLY VOLATILE ELECTION,
MOST VOLATILE I’VE EVER SEEN, SO DO NOT WRITE IT IN STONE. THIS
IS A SNAPSHOT OF WHAT I THINK THE ELECTION LOOKS LIKE TODAY. SO THEN WHY BOTHER DOING IT? BECAUSE I WANT PEOPLE TO HAVE
THE PROPER PERSPECTIVE ON THE REMAINING TWO MONTHS IN THE
ELECTION. I THINK PEOPLE WHO STILL THINK HILLARY CLINTON WILL
WALK AWAY WITH IT, AND BY THE WAY, THAT IS STILL AN
OVERWHELMING MAJORITY OF THE ESTABLISHMENT AND THE MEDIA,
THEY THINK IT’S GOING TO BE A CAKEWALK FOR HER. THEY’VE NEVER
MOVED FROM THAT POSITION, EVERY ONCE IN A WHILE THEY SAY THAT’S
INTERESTING, I WONDER — DON’T BE RIDICULOUS, IS TRUMP GOING TO
BE PRESIDENT? OF COURSE NOT. I DID THE MATH ON IT AND SOME OF
THAT IS BASED ON BEASLEY ON POLLING, AND I LOOK TO SEE NOT
ONLY WHERE THE POLLING STANDS TODAY BUT WHICH WAY IT’S
TRENDING, BUT OF COURSE THERE IS A WHOLE TWO MONTHS LEFT, THEN
YOU HAVE TO PUT IN YOUR OWN POLITICAL INTUITION AS TO WHICH
WAY YOU THINK IT WILL TREND OVERALL AND OBVIOUSLY THE
DEBATES ARE AN ENORMOUS WILDCARD, THEY ARE USUALLY
OVERHYPED AND DON’T USUALLY AFFECT THE NUMBERS THAT MUCH. IN
THIS CASE THEY MIGHT AFFECT IT DRAMATICALLY, BECAUSE THESE ARE
THE TWO MOST UNPOPULAR CANDIDATES WE’VE EVER HAD, SO
WHO WILL COME OUT BASICALLY ALIVE FROM THOSE DEBATES WHERE
THEY PRESUMABLY SWING AT EACH OTHER ALL NIGHT LONG? AND GOD
KNOWS ANYTHING COULD HAPPEN, ESPECIALLY WITH A CHARACTER LIKE
DONALD TRUMP IN THE RACE. SO HAVING SAID ALL THAT, LET ME
GIVE YOU WHAT I’VE GOT. SO DONALD TRUMP, WHAT ARE THE
STATES HE’S GOING TO WIN? I WILL GO FROM LEAST TO MOST
CONTROVERSIAL, I BELIEVE HE WILL WIN ARIZONA, HILLARY CLINTON IS
TRENDING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION IN ARIZONA BECAUSE THERE IS A
HIGH LATINO PUBLISHING BUT I DON’T THINK SHE WILL CLOSE THE
GAP. INDIANA, EASY WIN FOR DONALD TRUMP, YES BARACK OBAMA
HAS WON THAT IN THE PAST IN 2008, BUT I DON’T THINK HILLARY
WILL COME CLOSE THERE. GEORGIA, SOME TALK OF SHE IS CLOSING IN
GEORGIA, SHE WON’T CLOSE. MISSOURI HE WENT EASILY, NORTH
CAROLINA, CURRENTLY HILLARY CLINTON LEADS IN SOME OF THE
POLLING OR MOST OF IT IN NORTH CAROLINA, I DON’T BELIEVE THAT
WILL HOLD. I THINK IT WILL GO TO DONALD TRUMP. AND THEN IOWA,
THAT IS A VERY WINNABLE STATE FOR THE DEMOCRATS BUT I THINK IN
THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT DONALD TRUMP WILL WIN IOWA. AND THEN
NEVADA, BOY, THAT IS SUCH A WINNABLE STATE FOR THE
DEMOCRATS, BUT RIGHT NOW HE IS DEFINITELY TRENDING IN THE RIGHT
DIRECTION IN NEVADA, I THINK HE WILL PULL THAT OUT. AND VERY
IMPORTANTLY, OHIO AND FLORIDA. I WILL GET BACK TO THEM IN ONE
SECOND, BUT I WILL GIVE YOU THE LAST ONE FOR TRUMP — MAINE IN
THIS PARTICULAR DISTRICT. MAIN VOTES IN TERMS OF CONGRESSIONAL
DISTRICTS, THEY SPLIT THEIR ELECTORAL VOTES, HE IS PULLING
AHEAD IN ONE DISTRICT IN MAINE, HE WILL GET ONE ELECTORAL
COLLEGE VOTE THERE ACCORDING TO MY PREDICTIONS, HILLARY CLINTON
WILL GET THE OTHER THREE. SO OHIO AND FLORIDA, AS IMPORTANT
AS SWING STATE AS YOU COULD POSSIBLY HAVE, WHY DO I HAVE
TROUBLE WINNING THOSE? FIRST OFF, CURRENTLY HE IS WITHIN TWO
POINTS OF HER IN BOTH OF THOSE STATES. AND IN THE PAST HE HAS
LED IN BOTH OF THOSE STATES, AND HE’S TRENDING TOWARDS PICKING UP
MOMENTUM IN BOTH OF THOSE STATES, AND GIVEN THE LATEST
ROUND OF POLLING IT’S ALMOST A STATISTICAL TIE WITHIN THE
MARGIN OF ERROR, AND WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE HISTORICAL TRENDS,
EVEN THOUGH BARACK OBAMA HAD A VERY LARGE LEAD IN OHIO SIX
WEEKS BEFORE THE ELECTION, FOR EXAMPLE HE HAD A 10 POINT LEAD,
EVEN RIGHT BEFORE THE ELECTION A SIGNIFICANT LEAD IN OHIO, AND HE
ONLY WOUND UP WINNING OHIO BY I BELIEVE ONE OR TWO POINTS, AND
FLORIDA BY ONE OR TWO POINTS AS WELL. SO BIG LEADS FOR THE
DEMOCRAT DID NOT LEAD TO BIG VICTORIES, OBAMA WOUND UP
WINNING WITH THOSE STATES, BUT VERY NARROWLY. HILLARY CLINTON
IS NOT ANYWHERE NEAR AS POPULAR AS BARACK OBAMA, OBAMA IN THE
LATEST WASHINGTON POST POLL IS POLLING AT 58%, HILLARY CLINTON
NOWHERE NEAR 58%. OF COURSE TRUMP IS ALSO UNPOPULAR, BUT HE
HAS AN ANTIESTABLISHMENT MESSAGE THAT CAN RESONATE IN A PLACE
LIKE OHIO THAT IS HURTING. THAT IS WHY HIS MESSAGE WORKS BETTER
IN THE RUSTBELT BUT HAS DONE STUBBORNLY WELL IN FLORIDA. SO
I’M GIVING HIM ALL THOSE STATES. WHICH STATES IS HILLARY CLINTON
GOING TO WIN? I BELIEVE SHE WILL WIN NEW HAMPSHIRE, SHE HAD A 15
POINT LEAD IN NEW HAMPSHIRE A WHILE AFTER THE DNC BUT THAT HAS
NOW SHRUNK CONSIDERABLY, THE LAST POLL I SAW WAS SIX POINTS,
I THINK SHE WILL STILL HOLD ON. I THINK SHE WILL WIN MINNESOTA
EASLEY, MICHIGAN, THESE ARE SO-CALLED PURPLE STATES FROM
TIME TO TIME, I DON’T THINK THEY ARE VERY PURPLE, DEMOCRATS
GENERALLY LOCK THOSE UP EASILY IN A NATIONAL ELECTION, I
BELIEVE SHE WILL WIN NEW MEXICO, SHE HAS A GOOD LEADER THERE,
WISCONSIN, A SIMILAR STORY THERE. NOW YOU GET INTO
TERRITORY WHERE TRUMP PEOPLE ARE HOPEFUL, MAYBE WE CAN WIN
WISCONSIN IF THEY EXTEND THE RUST BELT, I DON’T THINK THAT
WILL HAPPEN. AS I TOLD YOU I BELIEVE SHE WILL WIN THE OTHER
THREE DISTRICTS IN MAINE, I THINK HER LEAD IN PENNSYLVANIA
IS TOO LARGE, AT ONE POINT I THOUGHT HE HAD A GOOD CHANCE OF
WINNING IN PENNSYLVANIA. I WOULDN’T CALL THAT A LOCK, AND I
WOULD HAVE CALLED PENNSYLVANIA A LOCK FOR DEMOCRATS IN ANY OTHER
ELECTION, BUT I STILL HAVE IT IN HER CATEGORY, HER LEAD IS STILL
SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH THAT I THINK SHE WILL HOLD IT. FINALLY THE
LAST TWO STATES ARE PROBABLY THE MOST IMPORTANT. COLORADO, IT IS
A PURPLE STATE, IT CAN GO BOTH DIRECTIONS, BUT THAT IS WHERE
SHE HAS A SURPRISINGLY LARGE LEAD. EVEN IN THIS LATE DATE, AS
TRUMP HAS CLOSED A LOT OF STATES DOWN, COLORADO IS STILL AT A 10
POINT LEAD FOR HILLARY CLINTON, SHE’S GOT TO HOLD COLORADO,
THAT’S HUGE. AND THE FINAL STATE IS VIRGINIA. VIRGINIA USED TO BE
A RED STATE, THEN IT TURNED TO A PURPLE STATE, NOW SHE HAS A MORE
COMFORTABLE LEAD IN VIRGINIA THAN SHE DOES IN SOME OF THE
MORE CLASSICALLY SWING STATES LIKE FLORIDA AND OHIO. THAT’S
THE KEY RIGHT THERE, I THINK IF SHE WINS PENNSYLVANIA, COLORADO,
AND VIRGINIA, AS YOU ARE ABOUT TO SEE, THAT’S JUST ENOUGH. AND
BY THE WAY, I DID NOT LOOK TO MAKE THIS A CLOSE ELECTION, I
DIDN’T LOOK TO DO THE MATH AS I WAS GOING ALONG, I JUST LOOKED
AT THE POLLING AND AGAIN, A COMBINATION OF MY EXPERIENCE,
ETC., AND I PUT THE STATES IN DIFFERENT CATEGORIES, THEN I
TABULATED AT THE END TO SEE WHO WOULD WIN, AND AS IT TURNS OUT
IF I’M RIGHT ABOUT ALL THAT, HILLARY CLINTON IN A RAZOR THIN
VICTORY, 272-266. IT DOESN’T GET ANY CLOSER THAN THAT. WELL, IT
COULD GET A TINY BIT CLOSER, BUT YOU GET THE POINT. SO — THIS
RACE IS SO CLOSE. AND ANYTHING CAN SWING IT. I MEAN, IT’S
GOTTEN WILD SWINGS ALREADY. TRUMP WAS LEADING BEFORE THE
CONVENTIONS, AFTER THE CONVENTIONS AND AFTER HE PUNCHED
HIMSELF IN THE FACE ABOUT 28 TIMES SAYING THE MOST OUTRAGEOUS
THINGS, HE WAS LOSING, AND BY A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT FOR A WHILE. HILLARY CLINTON HAD A NICE LEAD, NOW IT HAS DIMINISHED, IT’S NOT
OVER YET, BUT IT HAS DIMINISHED GREATLY. THEN YOU HAD THIS
TERRIBLE WEEKEND FOR HILLARY CLINTON, MY GUESS IS DONALD
TRUMP WILL BE UP IN THE POLLS SOON. THAT YOU WILL HAVE THE
DEBATES. IF YOU THINK THIS ELECTION IS OVER, YOU ARE
MENTAL. IT’S NOWHERE NEAR OVER, EITHER SIDE CAN WIN, YES I FIND
THAT TO BE A SCARY THOUGHT, I THINK ALL AMERICANS DO, BECAUSE
THESE ARE THE TWO MOST UNPOPULAR CANDIDATES WE’VE EVER HAD IN OUR
NATION’S HISTORY. SO BUCKLE UP, BECAUSE THIS THING IS PROBABLY
GOING TO GO DOWN TO THE WIRE. AND IF THE DEMOCRATS HOLD ON, I
THINK IT WILL BE BY THE SLIMMEST OF MARGINS.

Posts created 28257

100 thoughts on “Who Will Win The 2016 Election?

  1. Hillary is basically letting Isis take over America and trump has major anger issues, the only logical option is harambe #harambe4presidenttwentydixteen

  2. For those of you who took the time and effort to go out today and vote, you should be ashamed of yourselves. Those of you who stayed home and jerked off instead, you are the TRUE American patriots.

  3. PICK TRUMP CAUSE HILLARY KNOW AS KILLARY IS MEAN PEOPLE SAY THEY WILL BOMB IF SHE WINS AND TRUMP IS KEEPING THE MEXICO OUT CAUSE THEY STILL OUR JOBS AND MONEY THAN LEAVE

  4. If u want Trump like this comment please of you want Hillary dislike this comment. please do it and if u want other comment something anything.

  5. Some people get mad who wins and they are one of the people who didn't vote. If they would have gotten off there lazy BUT they could have been the difference in who the president was. U can't say anything about the president till u have actually voted. But know it is to late all the polls are closed soooo. That is why I am not going to say anything. EVEN THOUGH NO ONE WILL READ THIS AND I WILL GET NO LIKES.

  6. Hillary Clinton!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ’–πŸ’–πŸ’–πŸ’–πŸ’–

  7. Donald TrumpπŸ‘ŽπŸ‘ŽπŸ‘ŽπŸ‘ŽπŸ‘ŽπŸ‘ŽπŸ‘ŽπŸ‘ŽπŸ‘ŽπŸ‘ŽπŸ‘ŽπŸ‘ΏπŸ‘ΏπŸ‘ΏπŸ‘ΏπŸ‘ΏπŸ‘ΏπŸ‘ΊπŸ‘ΊπŸ‘ΊπŸ‘ΊπŸ‘ΊπŸ‘Ί

  8. +LD Showdow Girl you must πŸ’– trump but stop being a sherlock and if you got a problem then stop commenting sooo much when other people comment YAY hillary because this is not Facebook,snapchat,instagram, or twitter okay if you got major issues go get a tissue to wipe of that issue and shut up you big disgrace

  9. Trump has the "TR" and I have the "B" that is why I voted for trUMP!!! YEAH!!! Like it or lump it…celebrate yes, yes and yes!!!

  10. Uhhh, TYT was right. You trumptards are living in an alternative universe cause my women's organization redid the calculations by giving men only 3/5th of the vote, AND IT TURNS OUT THAT HILLARY CLINTON WON!!! SHE WILL BE OUR NEXT PRESIDENT.
    So keep living in your fantasy land thinking that Trump won, idiots!

  11. https://www.google.ca/search?q=trump+wrong&biw=1360&bih=662&source=lnms&tbm=isch&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwiLi4Hjz7PQAhUn7oMKHVoBCMgQ_AUIBigB#tbm=isch&q=trump+wrong+gif&imgrc=fiQE0F5-bJdJHM%3A

  12. Come on, no women could beat a man. That's just how the world works. LOL

    The best female candidate could never beat the worst male candidate never mind vice versa. Men > Women

  13. What's interesting was that, these guys predicted she would take the win by a small number contrary to the popular belief where she would get like 300 electoral votes, then Trump just barely stole some of her key states to pull off a win that was predicted to go for her.

  14. TYT may as well just do their show ballerina dancing in their underwear to circus music, it would be just as informative

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